Skip to main content

I'm Trying to Understand Why Some People Buy Appreciated Stocks

 
There are many different techniques in stocks. The one that's most commonly known is to buy low and sell high. However, some people are willing to buy appreciated stocks (or appreciated cash investments involving stocks such as the Unit Investment Trust Fund or UITF) for a reason. It just baffles me. I decided to read through Forbes and found out these reasons which could be why I think some foolish people might give me my benefits:

Why Others Buy Stock When You Sell

Each of us has different investing goals and investment plans. You may be saving for retirement while someone else is day trading stocks. Or you’re an institutional investor managing a billion-dollar pension. Different goals mean different motivations and actions.

If you are selling, why might someone else be buying?

They Have Regularly Scheduled Investments 

There are investors who have regularly scheduled investments, such as a retirement account contribution each paycheck. This approach is an investment strategy known as dollar cost averaging.

Every month, these investors will buy shares at the market price without a specific reason other than it’s payday. I do this every month when I contribute to my retirement accounts – I buy shares of an index fund regardless of what I feel about the future of the market. I buy based on the day of the month and nothing else.

They are Buying the Dip 

There are a lot of reasons why a stock price might drop, such as a surprising earnings miss or a broad market correction, but some investors believe in a strategy known as “buying the dip.” If you feel that the market over corrected, you might want to be buying shares.

Investors with a long-term investing horizon might invest extra cash when shares drop 10%. “Buying the dip” is like buying extra groceries during a buy one get one free sale.

They Have Limit Buy Orders 

One of my favorite investing websites, Crossing Wall Street by Eddy Elfenbien, maintains an annual Buy List of companies with an updated “Buy Below” prices. He adjusts those prices but believes that a company is worth accumulating if their prices fall below this “Buy Below” price.

Investors who follow this practice may set long term good-til-canceled limit buy orders that trigger when there are big dips. They set these because they know they want the stock at that price but don’t want to check prices all the time. If there’s a sudden drop, they are willing buyers.

They Are Covering Short Sales 

If you were selling your shares after a drop in price, you might be selling it to someone who believed a drop was coming.

They are known as short sellers. If you think a stock’s price is going to fall, how would you take advantage of it? One strategy is to borrow shares of stock from someone else, sell them on the market today, and then buy them back when the price has fallen.

If the stock price does sell, and you go to sell your shares, the buyer may only be buying them to return the shares they borrowed. They may not believe the company is worth owning at all!

They Are Swing Traders 

Many long-term investors use fundamental analysis like analyzing balance sheets and earnings call transcripts to buy or sell positions. You might be selling because you think the future of the company looks bleak.

Other investors believe that they can use technical analysis to identify opportunities. They use these technical indicators to day trade stocks based on relatively small movements in the price. One common indicator is the idea that a stock can be “oversold” or “overbought” and based on the Relative Strength Index.

In some cases, investors trade the headlines in hopes of making a quick profit. One example is when a CEO unexpectedly dies or resigns. Another example is when an analyst lowers their rating for a company from “buy” to either “hold” or “sell.”

They aren’t buying because they believe in the company, they are buying because they are trying to take advantage of short-term volatility.

They Are Rebalancing 

There many times during the day, weeks, and month when you will experience atypical market behavior because various groups are required to perform certain actions. These times are often very unpredictable because of quirks in the schedule.

For example, one of the most volatile times to buy or sell stock is during the first and last 15 minutes of a trading session. These windows are the time when many institutional fund managers—including index funds—rebalance their portfolios.

An individual buyer may be personally rebalancing their portfolios. This is often done by selling assets that have seen gains and buying those that have lost value.

It’s a Witching! 

Have you heard of a “witching” on Wall Street?

Stock options, a contract that confers the right to buy or sell stocks at a certain price, expire on Fridays. You have stock options, stock futures, stock index options, and stock index futures. A triple witching is when three of them expire on the same Friday. A quadruple witching, which only happens four times a year, is when all four expire on the same Friday.

During these days, there will typically be much higher trading volume as profitable contracts are executed. Someone might be buying your shares not because they love the company but because they are involved in exercising an option.

Maybe They Are a Greater Fool! 

Another reason there is almost always someone willing to buy is the “greater fool theory.” This theory states that someone is willing to buy an already expensive asset thinking it the price will go higher and they can sell for a profit.

Every few years, we hear about how a financial bubble is bursting for a particular asset class. Before the bubble bursts, there is a sharp increase in asset prices. Some of those last investors are buying because they experience “FOMO”—the fear of missing out.

Technology stocks were the bubble in the 2000 “Dot-com bubble.” Some companies like Microsoft MSFT +2% and Apple AAPL +1.6% have more than recovered from this crash. But many companies went out of business or have yet to regain their all-time highs from 20 years ago.

I looked a the reasons and it seems that goals will depend. I was thinking about it that these could be the best reasons why some people choose to buy appreciated stocks over depreciated ones:

  1. Regularly scheduled investments are one. In the Philippines, it's called peso cost averaging. I want to call it money cost averaging for the benefit of those who don't use dollars and pesos. It could be that a person allocates the same amount of money per month in stocks. The AXA Chinese Tycoon Fund has people allocate at least PHP 3,000.02 per month and nothing more nothing less even if the stock market is at an all-time low. 
  2. The other would be the Greater Fool which buys the stocks at a higher price thinking it will go higher. Buy high and sell higher can be done properly but I prefer to avoid it. Though, they might be the wise investor's "best friend" because somebody will buy their appreciated stocks or managed funds that involve stocks. 
It could really work this way. I would buy a couple of depreciated stocks from Jollibee. After a few months, the prices will rise. I decide to sell some of my shares. What happens next is that there could be two kinds of buyers--one who has a regularly scheduled investment and the other who is the Greater Fool. One buyer invests the same amount in stocks and will use the same amount even if he or she will get lesser units. It's like the person uses PHP 1,000.00 in stock every month for long-term investments. Meanwhile, the other traders maybe buy the appreciated stocks hoping that they'll rise higher. It does sometimes work that way that some people will decide to buy as soon as it rises because it may rise higher. Though, I think buying high to sell higher needs to be studied carefully and it's something I'd avoid. 

Right now, I want to give a hang on stock trading. Though, it requires careful planning. Getting a diversified portfolio would be the best. Knowing the blue-chip stocks would be the best. I think value-cost averaging might be better though. In short, invest more when the market is low and less when the market is high. It might be good to invest PHP 2,500.00 when the market is high (since you get lesser units) and PHP 5,000.00 when the market is low (since you get more units). It might be good to sell some stocks if the market is unusually high. If these stocks give no dividends then it might be time to sell them, save that money, and then wait for another opportunity for the stock market to go down and start re-investing. After all, buying stocks when it's high is a move some may want to avoid unless they're people who have other motives for buying highly-valued stocks such as dividends and the like.

References

"Where Can I Invest My P1,000? 8 Investments to Consider (Plus Pros and Cons)" (Updated: January 17, 2022)

"Why Do People Buy Stocks When You Sell?" by Jim Wang (December 17, 2020)

Popular posts from this blog

#SahodItaasPresyoIbaba Economics Will Ultimately Hurt the WORKING CLASS

Cartoonist Zach Some people claim to fight for the working class--while refusing to work themselves. Some people claim to fight for the working class--while supporting policies that will prove detrimental to the working class. One of these policies is #SahodItaasPresyoIbaba--meaning to raise salaries and lower prices. I wrote some time ago about why #SahodItaasPresyoIbaba doesn't work . However, I'lm still attacked by Ad Homimens and Nom Sequiturs. How's that even possible anyway? Economics isn't magic! If President Ferdinand "Bongbong" R. Marcos Jr.'s promise of PHP 20.00 kilo rice is absurd--so is the promise of #SahodItaasPresyoIbaba economics!  Image by Sabrina Jiang © Investopedia 2020 I don't need a PhD in economics to understand cost accounting. The income statement would include salaries as part of the cost. The cost of goods sold includes salaries. Marketing and promotions include salaries. General and administrative would include salaries. Pa

Open FDI Equals CHINA?!

This is an interesting drawing I found on Facebook. It's often used to portray people who look at the removal of the unnecessarily restrictive 60-40 shares ownership policy as, "The current president's gift to China." The same was done during former Philippine president Atty. Rodrigo R. Duterte. The same was also done with Philippine President Ferdinand R. Marcos Jr. It makes me think of stupid comments written by idiots on Facebook. It would be ironic if a lot of anti-FDI and anti-American rants were made not only on Facebook but also were typed using Apple gadgets of all things! They may be quick to use whatever irrational reasons. Some reasons can range from foreigners "unfairly" owning the means to produce equipment (read here ) and that they're simply forced to participate in the capitalist economy model to survive (read here ). However, I must ask if these guys were forced to use the luxury brands they're using (read here ). As the map shows, s

Millions of Studies from the Trust Me Bro School of Economics Show #SahodItaasPresyoIbaba Business Model Works

Happy Labor Day anyone? It's this time of the year when labor groups like Kilusang Mayo Uno (literally the May One Movement) would protest. They would raise banners demanding #SahodItaasPresyoIbaba. For those who don't speak Tagalog, it means raising salaries and lowering the prices of goods. However, basic cost accounting will tell you that salaries are part of the cost of production . People ignore facts and choose their feelings a lot . I tell them that salaries are part of the cost of production (no need for a Ph. D for that, which I no longer aim to get) but they just sneer at it . They think the government has absolute control over the economy like magic . Members of Filipino labor groups may even say that wage hikes aren't inflationary even when evidence shows otherwise.  The  Economics Help   website presents why doing so can actually  worsen  inflation: Wage Push Inflation.  If labour is able to push for higher wages, despite lower growth, then we could get a combi

Whoever Made This Meme About Coffee Shops May Have Never Seen (or PURPOSELY IGNORNING) Income Statements and Financial Statements

The Facebook group "Stop Blaming Capitalism for Socialism's Failures" is now plagued with Anonymous Participant posts. It's probably because they could no longer defend themselves. Anyway, let's think of the fallacy of this thinking. I'd like to point out that people get rich from the net profit --not from the sales. People should stop confusing sales for profits! Business & Plans If we look at that sample income statement, we look at how the coffee shop operates. Let's use the USD currency over the PHP, even if I'm a Filipino . The reason is that the sample income statement is from an American website. If we look at the income statement--we have sales deducted from the Cost of Goods Sold (COGS), and every other expenses. SG&A means selling , general , and administrative expenses--which involves paying the coffee growers, the coffee refiners, the coffee packers, and the coffee brewers. The person who runs the coffee shop is involved in the chai

La Salsa: The Delicious Filipino-Mexican Cantina at Lahug, Cebu City

La Salsa Facebook Page I've eaten at La Salsa Twice. I've tried eating at El Taquito (which is probably no longer operational in Cebu) and El Loco (which closed down years ago). I've eaten the Mexican American style of Red Lizard (read here ). La Salsa Filipino-Mexican Cantina offers a delicious blend of Mexican food for the Filipino customer. It's another experience for delicious Mexican-style cooking.  I've tried their beef fajita and enchilada. These are some of my favorite Mexican foods. For my first two dine-ins--I felt the cozy atmosphere of a home . I expected the enchiladas to be thinner but they are thicker. Perhaps, it's a different enchilada than the one I ate years ago. Both are delicious in their own way. I enjoyed the huger serving of enchilada.  Right now, it's still the soft opening. Some items won't be available at the moment. Based on my own personal review, I'd recommend this restaurant to anyone who enjoys fusion cooking. I love h

Is Anybody Willing to Prove Filipino First Policy Has a Place in the Rising Asian Century for a Million Pesos, Tax Free?

Yesterday was the birthday of former president Carlos P. Garcia, who died in 1971. Garcia is often associated with the Filipino First Policy. Back in the 1990s, I remember how Filipino First Policy was taught in values education classes --never mind the glaring contradictions. The contradictions are that imported equipment was used, or that we can literally never escape the use of imported equipment. I wrote an article discussing why Garcia's Filipino First Policy has no place in the rising Asian Century . I haven't done academic work right now, having been disgruntled by the Filipino education system. Sadly, not even graduate school taught me the basics of stock market investment (such as equity funds) or how Cash 2 Go works. That's why some people say, "It's just a degree!" I often said, "Well your doctor went to college, your lawyer went to college, etc." However, it looks like a college degree may not be for everyone, under K+12!  Some people are

The Irony of Getting Mad at Agricultural Imports Then Complaining About Inflation of Agricultural Goods

I really must laugh at the stupidity of "thought leader" pages or the comments on Facebook. A good example is the one above where Rosendo So says that onion importation could've prevented the price surge of onions. However, just reading the comments (and there's so plenty I wouldn't bother replying to them all) keep demanding protectionism for local farmers. The illogical stupidity of the comments proves one thing--there's still a significant surge of economic illiteracy in the Philippines. What do you expect from people who demand stuff like higher wages while lowering the prices of goods? Simple cost accounting dictates that wages are part of the production process. If you start raising up prices then you can expect the prices of goods to increase as well. They even don't bother to analyze the supply chain along with operational costs as well. I don't need a doctorate in economics to get it. Okay, I'll confess that I had a graduate degree from th

Why I Feel Investing Money in UITFs Might Be a Good Idea While Studying DIY Stock Trading

It's said anybody can do stock trading. However, the idea can be very suicidal if one decide to rush into stocks without studying how to effectively do it. Some people can even recklessly borrow tons of money and end up harming themselves when the trade was at a loss . They might've borrowed the money from a loan shark for all we know. I'm trying to study the stock trade though there's a good option. AXA Chinese Tycoon is a managed fund. Now, there's also Unit Investment Trust Fund (UITF) which could be a good alternative while one is learning to do stocks. Stocks can be learned but remember-- no investment is ever a walk in the park. Stocks need some time to learn.  I haven't started direct stock trading it. Meanwhile, I'm aware that funds like the AXA Chinese Tycoon or the UITFs are powered by stocks . The pandemic has prevented me from doing direct translations. Instead, I decided to use GCash and ATRAM (linked to GCash ) to start another trading portfoli

Forget About Open FDI, Let's Open #SahodItaasPresyoIbaba Stores Instead

A really disastrous decision! Before the Buwan ng Wika ends, I want to write about those who have been demanding "Sahod itaas! Presyo ibaba!" (Raise salaries, lower prices). Back in 2022, I wrote an article discussing why the demands for higher salaries, lower prices of goods, and handouts for all are a recipe for disaster . I could laugh at people who believed in the promise of PHP 20.00 per kilo of rice promise of Philippine President Ferdinand R. Marcos Jr. Before that, people had been demanding #SahodItaasPresyoIbaba during the reigns of the late former president Benigno Simeon C. Aquino III and former president Rodrigo R. Duterte.  Image by Sabrina Jiang © Investopedia 2020 I did explain why the model doesn't work. In the cost of production, you need to account for everything that happens including salaries . Raising salaries during inflation can actually worsen the situation . It's because sticky inflation happens with cost-push factors (ex. cost of gasoline, co

Raising Salaries During Inflation Can Worsen Inflation

Translation:  Raise up salaries! Lower prices!  Let's all be united and move for a sustainable salary!  It's tomorrow! Let's see each other on #MayOne2023! It's May 1 today and it's referred to as Labor Day . One of the many organizations in the Philippines called Kilusang Mayo Uno (May 1 Movement) has been doing the same nonsense all the time. Do these people even have the slightest idea of wealth generation? I doubt it. They have been demanding the same thing all over again. I wonder if these people are aware that it's not sustainable (read here ). The same movement has been to have salary increases in the midst of inflation. At first, it sounds like a good idea. However, the economic aspect will totally reveal why it isn't feasible. The Economics Help website presents why doing so can actually worsen inflation: Wage Push Inflation. If labour is able to push for higher wages, despite lower growth, then we could get a combination of rising inflation, but s