Skip to main content

Gambling or Investing During This Still Ongoing Bear Market?

CardCow.com

Right now, I decided to monitor the stock market opening and closing almost daily. It looks like the bear market is far from over. I decided to Google "bear market not yet over". This is the latest report from the Philippine Stock Exchange Index (PSEi) website:


The recent observation has some scores in green but the percentage changes are anything but significant. In short, the bear market is still on. It's a good time to buy more stocks (either through DIY or through a stock index fund). The PSEi's overall change is barely one percent. I feel Warren Edward Buffett's excitement right now since it might mean, "I'll probably buy in bulk yet again." In another case, the AXA Chinese Tycoon Fund will end up buying more units per month than it was during the bull market. I would dare say that the bear market is far from over based on the scores. True, they are in green (signifying an increase) but the increase is far from significant. 

This would be a good question to ask. Are you gambling or investing in this bear market? I was thinking of possible reckless moves that people could be doing during the bear market:
  1. Some people may have decided to withdraw their AXA funds to play Axie Infinity thinking it's an "investment" (read here).
  2. Some people may have decided to panic-sell their stocks because the value went down (read here). My assumption is that these people are more on day traders than those who choose to invest long-term (read here).
  3. Some people may have chosen to stop investing altogether (because the values went down) and decide to do gambling instead (read here). 
  4. Some people may have decided to withdraw their investments to transfer them to get rich quick schemes (read here).
  5. Some people may have decided to go with cryptocurrency instead of regular investments. I think these people decided to go for cryptocurrency based on social media gossip (read here).
All the moves above are financially stupid. Yet, the allure of instant riches is always there, right? Sometimes, those who are lured into it are highly intelligent people. That's why Buffett said that temperament plays a better part than intellect. One needs a good temperament to survive this ongoing bear market (read here). One can have straight As but a bad temperament can mislead one into a get rich quick scheme or to move from investing to gambling. Part of this gambling includes day trading which I don't recommend at all (read here). None of the moves I mentioned are investing--only gambling. True, there can be gains but it's very short-term

Buffett recommends investing over gambling


Meanwhile, what does it mean to invest during a bear market? It's seeing the opportunities of the stock market. Rather than panic, Buffett says, "If there's blood on the streets, buy stocks." Blood on the streets is an idiomatic expression. The stocks are in red? It's not a sarcastic yehey but a real yehey. There are some stocks from good companies in red. What happens is that it's a perfect buying opportunity to buy in bulk. If one's having a stock fund--a good opportunity for that stock fund to earn more in the long run. 

There's always the option to invest in an index fund. Granted, there's the PHP 8,000.00 rule in investing in stocks. One can always work to start with PHP 1,000.00 and then slowly put more on the same stock. For example, I buy stocks from Jollibee with PHP 2,000.00 during the first month and then PHP 6,000.00 because the bull market got hit by a bear market. Though, Buffett's other advice has been to buy an index fund if you don't want to do all the work in the stock trade. For PHP 8,000.00--I could buy an index containing the Top 30 companies in the PSEi. That would be easier than having to make sure I get a minimum of PHP 8,000.00 per stock to minimize losses. 

What I saw was the sale of the Philippine Smart Equity Index Fund (read here). I pretty much got excited that I decided to reach the PHP 8,000.00 goal and go beyond it. It would be interesting to think about the list of companies invested in the PSEi. So, for every PHP 1,000.00 or higher I plan to add-- I practically buy a basket of stocks per transaction. The top picks would be companies like SM Investments Inc., Ayala Corporation, and JG Summit Holdings. If I continue to put money into it--I'm practically letting the money grow in the long run. This is very different if I decided to play day trading with SM Investments stocks only to risk losing all my money in the long run.

This is the question right now. Are you investing or gambling? If you're gambling then I'm sorry--you're at a loss. In my case, I'd invest and wait. It would be boring but there are other sources of excitement. I can still play games, watch shows, etc. and then monitor investments to see if there's still more room for more units. I guess I can take comfort that when people gamble--it means investors will just invest more for the long-term.

Popular posts from this blog

Filipino First Policy Linked with Crab Mentality

Having sea crab yesterday or just eating crab, I always think of that old commercial in the 1990s. It was called, "Iwasan ang crab mentality." or "Avoid crab mentality." This makes me recall a scene when I was a child. I saw a pail full of mud crabs (called alimango in Filipino) and if one crab got out, the others pulled it down. The TV commercial showed how if the crabs got together, they could all escape their grizzly fate of becoming eaten for human consumption. Chefs are just lucky crabs pull each other down. However, it also shows that the crabs would rather all be cooked together than let that crab escape.  Unfortunately, crab mentality is one of the biggest problems in the Philippines. It's not all that unique among Filipinos. However, it doesn't Filipinos should ever take comfort in engaging in a crab mentality, just because other people do it . Here's an interesting excerpt from Inquirer   by Jerry Peres de Tagle PhD: Studies in human behavior ...

It's a Common, Broken New Year's Resolution Among Filipinos to Do Better with Their Finances and Economic Knowledge

Happy New Year, right? There's this statement in Cebuano that says, "Sa Disyembre nag lipay-lipay. Sa Enero, naglikay-likay." For non-Cebuano speakers, it means, "Enjoying all December. Fleeing in January." It's because of the bad habits that are common during the Christmas season. I wrote an entry talking about when a Merry Christmas leads to an Unhappy New Year . After Christmas vacation, it can be common to talk about New Year's Resolutions. Sadly, there are resolutions meant to be broken or resolutions on paper only. Several people finish high school, go to college, get a job, but never gain the necessary knowledge of economics and finances. Instead, they continue to live the same habits year after year. Even worse, the same foolish behavioral patterns get passed down f rom parent to child to grandchild. Still stuck with financial habits that put one in a financial dodo The New Year starts and it can get funny. I tend to hate December because of the ...

Rejoicing Over Filipino Businesses Getting 100% Ownership Abroad While Crying Over FDIs Getting Allowed to Own 100% Ownership

The Philippine senatorial elections are on, right? One of the many things candidates (regardless of party) need to hold is the need for economic reform. As  I continue discussing economic charter change, several objections are held. One of the objections is allowing 100% FDI--a subject often subjected to mockery. These mockeries can range from promoting colonial mentality, selling the Filipino to foreigners, borrowing money from abroad (which is definitely not investment, read here ), or even the ridiculous notion that FDI includes Filipino women dating foreigners (read here ). This time, I would like to address another hypocrisy. This time, it's all about Filipinos who rejoice that Filipino businesses are investing with 100% FDI ownership. All the while, this is crying foul when there's a law passed that will allow foreigners to own 100% FDI ownership , in the Philippines. This is a meme to expose the hypocrisy. Jollibee has 158 branches in Vietnam, which I assume happened bec...

The Recent Microsoft Global Outage Should be a Wake-Up Call to the Philippines' Need to Fix the 1987 Constitution's Economic Flaws

The Express Tribune The recent Microsoft Global Outage was caused by Crowdstrike. Since I'm no IT or CS expert--it's better if I let them talk in the news. From BBC News , here's a detail from Crowdstrike that reveals the root cause of the problem has been systemic with an update: This is still a little unclear. CrowdStrike is known for producing antivirus software, intended to prevent hackers from causing this very type of disruption. According to CrowdStrike boss George Kurtz, the issues are only impacting Windows PCs and no other operating systems, and were caused by a defect in a recent update . "The issue has been identified, isolated and a fix has been deployed," he said. "This is not a security incident or cyber-attack." What exactly was wrong with the update is yet to be revealed, but as a potential fix involves deleting a single file, it is possible that just one rogue file could be at the root of all the mayhem. Thankfully, those who created th...

Is Vietnam Getting More FDI Inflows than the Philippines, Because of Its Supposedly Better Fight Against Corruption?

Discussing international marketing or world economics with boomer Filipinos can be painful. Some people still believe in the Filipino First Policy. I cite Vietnam as an example of why economic charter change (called econ cha cha) should be done. Some people cite that Vietnam's increase in FDI is because of the fight against corruption. I don't deny Vietnam has a crackdown on corruption. I don't deny that fighting against corruption helps the economy. However, fighting corruption without the proper tools and not having economic development, is useless. Fighting corruption isn't a panacea or cure-all either.  Spanking is part of child discipline, not the whole of child discipline. People who only spank but never teach right and wrong, render spanking ineffective . Instead, look at Vietnam's economic policy vs. the Philippines' economic policy. Some people blame the following for the Philippines' lack of foreign investments, some things Vietnam also suffers fr...

Trying to Plan Out What to Do as a Bull Market Starts

I was laughing just thinking about ignorance about the bear and bull markets. Yes, we know about social media gossipers (seldom called a marites in Filipino) tend to spread gossip. I ran into several people panicking when the Philippine Stock Exchange Index (PSEi) was mostly red. Others would panic but Warren Edward Buffett recommends, "Be fearful when others are greedy. Be greedy when others are fearful." That's the best market timing. Some people do cost averaging because it's practically less risky in contrast to lump sum investing. Buffett recommends that non-technical people should periodically invest in a low-cost index fund over a period of ten years.  Now, the Philippine Star has an article by Wilson Sy, where the first paragraph talks about the Philippines' entry towards the bull market : Most stock markets have undergone a dramatic shift to start the year, transitioning from a bear market to a bull market. Peak inflation, a slower pace of interest rate h...

When the Education Cares TOO MUCH About Grades, Schools Produce Idiots Instead of Intellectuals

During the pandemic, I was left in limbo thinking about my poor performance under K+10. It was something to think about that a classmate of mine who was both a summa cum laude and an honor student, ended up posting on his wall, "Students cheat because the education system cares more about grades instead of learning." The class salutatorian of our batch even commented about the good old days. I always had that feeling of insecurity and envy towards people better than me. But as Warren Edward Buffet would say, "Don't hate successful people. Learn from them instead." One of them is currently a teacher and the other is in Canada. I thought about my insecurities especially when I used to believe I was descended from a fine scholar and my family was a family of scholars.  I remembered the time I was taking MBA and got conned. I was asked, "Is that what MBA taught you?" I got touchy and ended up admitting, eventually, that I was only taking MBA for the presti...

My Personal Opinion on the Recent Universal Robina Incident

I was doing some news readings and I found out about the death of a certain Stephen Corilla. The incident happened in the Universal Robina Corporation's factory in Mandaue a few days ago. It really chilled my bones to read these details which I'll share from Sunstar : POLICE are set to investigate a food and beverage plant in Barangay Tabok, Mandaue City after one of its workers was killed on duty while cleaning a pulverizer machine Thursday afternoon, June 2, 2022. Cpl. Glenn Bordalba of the Mandaue City Police Office Station 3 in Barangay Basak who is leading the investigation told SunStar Cebu Monday, June 6, that they will visit the Universal Robina Corp. (URC) Mandaue City plant in Tabok on Tuesday, June 7, to investigate the matter. Bordalba added that they have not started the investigation yet as they were not allowed entry to the site by the URC management after the incident was reported to them. An approval from the corporation’s consultant is needed for the police to...

My Experience with Tealive Cebu at the Ayala Central Bloc

I have tasted several foreign-owned tea shops. My first experience with tea shops was with Chatime (read here ). Now, I heard of this new coffee shop (or tea shop, take your pick) called Tealive. At first, I thought it was Taiwanese but when I Googled it--it was Malaysian. It made sense that the company uses only Halal-approved ingredients  since Malaysia has a huge Muslim population. The founder is Malaysian-Chinese businessman Bryan Loo of Loob Holdings. Loob here also means inside as the Tagalog language also derives from the Malay language. Tealive would later head to the Philippines. It would be like getting Filipinos closer to their Malaysian heritage after all.  The branches in Cebu include SM City, SM Seaside, and Ayala Central Bloc. The one I ate was at Ayala Central Bloc. Someone gave me a taste of their sandwich and their signature coffee. I was pretty much impressed that I decided to dine in there. I went to try their lychee tea and chees burger. For a note, their ...

Getting Stingy at the Cost of Fire Safety?

March is fire prevention month, right? If there are people who are too extravagant then I'd like to talk again about stingy people (read the article here ). I've tried growing up with the stingy vs. extravagant extremes. Some people become stingy even with the necessities. It's one thing to deny a child a children's party since it's a want . It's another thing to deny a child stuff they need all in the name of saving money . Even worse, some people may be more than stingy enough to ignore fire safety. A stingy person just wants to save. It's almost like the story of the Miser and His Gold or The Rich Miser . I really find these stories entertaining at the same time, irritating. The first story has the miser who hid his gold under the ground. Some people today are too distrustful of banks and investments. The second story has a rich man who even dresses in rags, denies his son's shoes, had his wife cook some cake only for him, and was so greedy he had it ...