Skip to main content

Gambling or Investing During This Still Ongoing Bear Market?

CardCow.com

Right now, I decided to monitor the stock market opening and closing almost daily. It looks like the bear market is far from over. I decided to Google "bear market not yet over". This is the latest report from the Philippine Stock Exchange Index (PSEi) website:


The recent observation has some scores in green but the percentage changes are anything but significant. In short, the bear market is still on. It's a good time to buy more stocks (either through DIY or through a stock index fund). The PSEi's overall change is barely one percent. I feel Warren Edward Buffett's excitement right now since it might mean, "I'll probably buy in bulk yet again." In another case, the AXA Chinese Tycoon Fund will end up buying more units per month than it was during the bull market. I would dare say that the bear market is far from over based on the scores. True, they are in green (signifying an increase) but the increase is far from significant. 

This would be a good question to ask. Are you gambling or investing in this bear market? I was thinking of possible reckless moves that people could be doing during the bear market:
  1. Some people may have decided to withdraw their AXA funds to play Axie Infinity thinking it's an "investment" (read here).
  2. Some people may have decided to panic-sell their stocks because the value went down (read here). My assumption is that these people are more on day traders than those who choose to invest long-term (read here).
  3. Some people may have chosen to stop investing altogether (because the values went down) and decide to do gambling instead (read here). 
  4. Some people may have decided to withdraw their investments to transfer them to get rich quick schemes (read here).
  5. Some people may have decided to go with cryptocurrency instead of regular investments. I think these people decided to go for cryptocurrency based on social media gossip (read here).
All the moves above are financially stupid. Yet, the allure of instant riches is always there, right? Sometimes, those who are lured into it are highly intelligent people. That's why Buffett said that temperament plays a better part than intellect. One needs a good temperament to survive this ongoing bear market (read here). One can have straight As but a bad temperament can mislead one into a get rich quick scheme or to move from investing to gambling. Part of this gambling includes day trading which I don't recommend at all (read here). None of the moves I mentioned are investing--only gambling. True, there can be gains but it's very short-term

Buffett recommends investing over gambling


Meanwhile, what does it mean to invest during a bear market? It's seeing the opportunities of the stock market. Rather than panic, Buffett says, "If there's blood on the streets, buy stocks." Blood on the streets is an idiomatic expression. The stocks are in red? It's not a sarcastic yehey but a real yehey. There are some stocks from good companies in red. What happens is that it's a perfect buying opportunity to buy in bulk. If one's having a stock fund--a good opportunity for that stock fund to earn more in the long run. 

There's always the option to invest in an index fund. Granted, there's the PHP 8,000.00 rule in investing in stocks. One can always work to start with PHP 1,000.00 and then slowly put more on the same stock. For example, I buy stocks from Jollibee with PHP 2,000.00 during the first month and then PHP 6,000.00 because the bull market got hit by a bear market. Though, Buffett's other advice has been to buy an index fund if you don't want to do all the work in the stock trade. For PHP 8,000.00--I could buy an index containing the Top 30 companies in the PSEi. That would be easier than having to make sure I get a minimum of PHP 8,000.00 per stock to minimize losses. 

What I saw was the sale of the Philippine Smart Equity Index Fund (read here). I pretty much got excited that I decided to reach the PHP 8,000.00 goal and go beyond it. It would be interesting to think about the list of companies invested in the PSEi. So, for every PHP 1,000.00 or higher I plan to add-- I practically buy a basket of stocks per transaction. The top picks would be companies like SM Investments Inc., Ayala Corporation, and JG Summit Holdings. If I continue to put money into it--I'm practically letting the money grow in the long run. This is very different if I decided to play day trading with SM Investments stocks only to risk losing all my money in the long run.

This is the question right now. Are you investing or gambling? If you're gambling then I'm sorry--you're at a loss. In my case, I'd invest and wait. It would be boring but there are other sources of excitement. I can still play games, watch shows, etc. and then monitor investments to see if there's still more room for more units. I guess I can take comfort that when people gamble--it means investors will just invest more for the long-term.

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Vietnam's Doi Moi Disproves the Philippines' Trust Me Bro School of Economics

Vietnam is now enjoying the benefits of open FDI Source: Quan Doi Nhan Dan Some fools on Facebook are using Vietnam as a reason why the Philippines shouldn't open to FDI. The Philippine Anti-Fascist League (whose original Facebook page has been deleted) spread the misinformation that Vietnam progressed through protectionism. According to PAFL--Vietnam's real "FDI" is in distributing its products worldwide and not by accepting FDI. The idea is absurd on so many levels. Why would countries around the world want to buy Vietnamese products if Vietnam wouldn't even allow their MNCs to do business in Vietnam?! Instead of listening to what fools say that Vietnam is a protectionist country, let's dig into an important part of its history. This important part of its history is called Doi Moi--which literally translates to restoration . Before that, I encourage you to read my article on why using Vietnam as an excuse against economic charter change for the Philippines, ...

Five Reasons Why I Advocate Buying Local Where You Go, as an Multinational Investor and/or Tourist

Getaway.PH A few years ago, I wrote an article where I talked about how multinational companies can help in the Buy Local Go Lokal campaign . Tourism may be at an all-time high (depending on the months), so some people may travel out of the country. Some people may be going out of the country or to some places in the Philippines. Much of my travel plans were squashed by the COVID-19 pandemic. Now, I'd like to talk about another aspect of international marketing. It's all about buying local where you go. Of course, this means doing some study about the place where you're going, what places to avoid, and the best recommendations for their local products. In life, it's a give-and-take principle, not a take-and-take principle. Various world religions and philosophies advocate the Golden Rule. This is, "Do not do unto others what you don't want others to do unto you." It can also be said, "Do unto others as you want others to do unto you." The princip...

Why I Feel "Play-to-Earn" Games are Too Good to be True

I've been running into ads that promise the "play to earn" games even before the pandemic. Some of them featured a game that all I needed was to merge this and that or pop bubbles and boom--I get money! I remembered finding ways to make money online and they encouraged gambling. There's always the rule of thumb in finances--if it's too good to be true then run  from it. It reminds me of how I get irritated by those fake game ads and now these new fake game ads? It's already bad enough I was duped into downloading Gardenscape with the fake ads. Now, these fake ads are probably the worst offenders over mobile demos that irritate us with annoying display of stupidity.  Any gamer who probably owned a Playstation 3 or an XBox 360 (or any seventh generation console) would remember having to buy credits to buy extra content. A buyer may have had to buy Playstation Points (or the like) to purchase additional content. Later, there's the pay to play online which a p...

When the Education Cares TOO MUCH About Grades, Schools Produce Idiots Instead of Intellectuals

During the pandemic, I was left in limbo thinking about my poor performance under K+10. It was something to think about that a classmate of mine who was both a summa cum laude and an honor student, ended up posting on his wall, "Students cheat because the education system cares more about grades instead of learning." The class salutatorian of our batch even commented about the good old days. I always had that feeling of insecurity and envy towards people better than me. But as Warren Edward Buffet would say, "Don't hate successful people. Learn from them instead." One of them is currently a teacher and the other is in Canada. I thought about my insecurities especially when I used to believe I was descended from a fine scholar and my family was a family of scholars.  I remembered the time I was taking MBA and got conned. I was asked, "Is that what MBA taught you?" I got touchy and ended up admitting, eventually, that I was only taking MBA for the presti...

Thinking About My Journey with Calculus: Initial Panic Attack to Learning Its Value in Business

I could remember how mathematics was once my most hated subject. Right now, it can be said most students hate mathematics. I complained about how hard it was. Again, mathematics is meant to be hard. No pain, no gain, right? However, I think I could point out how what's wrong with how math is taught or how math was taught. I was a graduate under the K+10 curriculum and the Philippines was left behind with K+12. It really makes Filipino students lack the skills that the other ASEAN countries had aside from lagging with the investment scale. I think about the biggest mistake with mathematics education today is how it's taught. Too much time is focused on studying the properties of numbers instead of teaching students that all mathematics is part of life. Another thing is students have the panic attack that if they don't do good with mathematics in high school--they will be forced to take "substandard courses" like Hotel and Restaurant Management. Yet, even the HRM co...

My Thoughts on the NOT So Surprising Downfall of "Axie Infinity"

llustration: Daniel Guerrero Fernandez for Bloomberg Businessweek I remembered some time ago when I wrote about Axie Infinity . One article I wrote about why I never bothered to enter the Axie Infinity arena was the poor security . I compared it to a cockfighting game--a game where so few win and so many lose. A previous article I wrote was all about why play-to-earn games are too good to be true . What's not too surprising is the collapse of Axie Infinity . It's pretty much too good to be true. A casual gamer can testify that they buy online passes not to earn but to play . It's like buying a Playstation Plus card to play online for an entire year. You buy games out of the money you earn. You don't earn money out of gaming.  What truly never surprised me was how Axie Infinity crashed. It promised riches but onoy resulted to disaster. I even wrote that there could be an ironic moment somebody says that AXA is a scam while playing Axie Infinity thinking that it's an...

The Foolishness (and Hypocrisy) of Wanting Imported Luxury Items as Christmas Gifts While Opposing BADLY NEEDED Economic Reform

I wrote about the Filipino obsession with the iPhone a few months ago . With Christmas being a few days away, I wrote that post to address the foolishness (and hypocrisy ) of wanting imported luxury items for Christmas. One of the greatest wishlists that someone in the Philippines could have composed of imported luxury items. It shouldn't be just a bag--it should be something like the latest Prada or Hermes. It shouldn't just be a smartphone or a new tablet--it should be an iPhone or an iPad. Some Filipinos may have even pestered their OFW relatives to bring them the latest imported luxury item. Never mind that working abroad, separated from loved ones, is anything but glamorous. Ironically, some people who want imported luxury items still oppose economic reform. I mentioned  how Apple has a huge factory in Communist Vietnam . I wrote an article where I discussed Lego operating a factory in again, Communist Vietnam . Just think for the moment if I talk to them, who are either ...

Using the Credentials Fallacy to Dismiss Anti-Protectionist, Pro-FDI Arguments

GarthBox I guess it's time for another post, isn't it? I'd like to say that I'm no super-expert in my field. I could remember one time I started talking about the need for constitutional reform. What I always choose to speak about first is the need to liberalize the economy, let more FDIs come in, and allow FDIs to own 100% of their businesses . Instead,  get shot down by arguments like, "Why let them invest here? Only they will be rich!" Even worse, they'll have  the credentials fallacy which can go with these kinds of insults that I can get every now and then: "Shut up! You're not an economist!" "Do you know Sonny Africa of IBON Foundation graduated from the London School of Economics and you didn't?" "Do you have a degree from the University of the Philippines, Ateneo De Manila University, or any of the Greenbelt universities?" "The school you graduated from is not one of the hardest to enter!" "You ...

Reading Bad Reviews About AXA from Trustpilot Plus Can We Trust, Trustpilot?

I was thinking about several bad reviews. I'd order food from Foodpanda and Grab where I notice some falsified claims. It also reminded me of several false claims like the Robinsons Galleria "snakeman", the fried towel from Jollibee (which I still believe was an act of sabotage), and maybe I could talk about several fake reviews just to get attention. Mistakes do happen (at times) and I remembered someone wrote a review of few mistakes on a restaurant. Meanwhile, I noticed somebody could just deliberately put an insect, picture it, badmouth, the restaurant, and the deed is done. I think the same could be very true for the bad reviews of AXA Philippines at Trustpilot (read here ). I really feel like asking if Trustpilot can truly be trusted or not. I decided to do some research about Trustpilot on Google . It's no surprise that sitejabber has Trustpilot at a very low score . Again, I can't be sure if it's not that easy to take down fake reviews. I decided to re...

Cherry's the Spice's Hyderabadi Style Cooking from the Heart

Sugbo.PH I remembered driving across Talamban sometime before the COVID-19 pandemic. One of the restaurants that caught my curiosity was called The Spice or Cherry's the Spice. The letter "i" is shaped like chili to give you this note that the restaurant is targeted towards people who enjoy spicy food. Yet, it has become very popular among Filipino customers. Cherry's the Spice was another one I was curious about but not ready to anticipate the different regions of cooking. It's pretty much cooking in Region V - Bicol Region is different from Region VII - Visayas. This restaurant had a cottage-like feel. This restaurant has won the best Indian restaurant award from Sunstar Cebu .    TripAdvisor The type of food here is similar yet different to Bollywood. Bollywood is pretty much North Indian for most of its cuisine. Cherry's the Spice focuses on Hyderabad-style cooking which I compare to the Bicol region. If I'm not wrong, some of its food has fresh coconu...